Betting against the long game
Regrettably, significant segments of the transhumanist movement are indeed ill-prepared to pay serious attention to the social effects of new technologies.
As these things start to happen, though, they’ll spark a frantic search for people that have thought about these sorts of thing before they happened. Breakthroughs in nano, bio, information or cogsci have the potential the throw the system for a loop (see for example Infomorph’s discussion of robots and revolution) and being in a place where we can talk about these things will help to further the agenda and lay the groundwork for the type of future society we’d like to see.
Very few transhumanists give much thought to the social effects of new technologies. Even those that do seem to take the stance (a la Kurzweil) that progress is going to — by it’s very nature — be good for (trans)humanity and don’t seem to pay enough attention to potential negative outcomes of new tech.
Singularitarian strands of transhumanist discourse suggest there’s no point in anticipating the social implications of technology. Either the pace of acceleration will throw social formations (except perhaps interpersonal networks) into constant flux, or, come the technorapture, there will be no recognizable human society. (In an Accelerando scenario, is there any conceivable use for sociology?) Millenarianism is an orientation incompatible with far-sighted futurism.
Other strands of discourse, moreover, are prone to individual reductionism, elevating personal happiness and autonomy as the main (if not sole) legitimate social concerns. What’s striking about most transhumanist discussions and communities online is the overriding concern with living long enough to be able to afford the immanent uploading or immortality treatments. This kind of nihilistic, lifestyle transhumanism is far more visible than any kind of, say, “transhumanism for the children”.
Worrisome, as well, is transhumanist tolerance of – if not enthusiastic embrace of – cranks. Dilettantes arguing over the technological requirements for uploading to substrate, or ersatz enterprises that produce no usable analyses or discoveries, are the futurist equivalent of “Sex is back”: deluded amateurs who have no idea how irrelevant they are to real progress and real problems.
Then there are the occasional PR nightmares. This proposal to engineer the extermination of 99.9% of the human race so that the remaining few million can enjoy a comfortable lifestyle, for instance, is maintained on a major transhumanist blog community and news portal. Most comments raise objections, but a communitywide condemnation is noticeably absent.
Building a transhumanist counterweight to religion, bioethics, and industry hype will not be easy.










































